TQ chuẩn bị tập trận

TQ chuẩn bị tập trận

Cuối tháng này, quân đội Trung Quốc sẽ tập trận phối hợp giữa đất liền, trên không và ngoài biển tại đảo Dongshan, tỉnh Phúc Kiến. Tuy nhiên, ngày giờ chính xác còn phụ thuộc vào điều kiện thời tiết.

Nguồn tin giấu tên từ lực lượng vũ trang Trung Quốc cho biết, ''''cuộc tập trận hàng năm được tiến hành nhằm kiểm tra lại mức độ luyện tập, tư duy chiến thuật của Quân đội giải phóng nhân dân (PLA). Ngoài ra, nó còn là buổi trình diễn ngoài trời của vũ khí mới''''.

Khi được hỏi liệu có phải cuộc tập trận sắp tới sẽ tập trung vào diễn tập trên không như báo chí nước ngoài đăng tin hay không, nguồn tin trên không trả lời trực tiếp song cho hay mỗi cuộc diễn tập sẽ nhấn mạnh vào một điểm khác nhau. ''''Cuộc tập trận là cần thiết và hợp lý để tăng cường khả năng của quân đội''''.

Cuộc diễn tập quân sự lần thứ 9 diễn ra tại đảo Đông Sơn, nằm ở phía tây nam Eo biển Đài Loan và cách đảo Bằng Hồ 277 km. Từ năm 1996, Trung Quốc đã tiến hành 8 cuộc tập trận và đợt tập trận lớn nhất diễn ra vào năm 2001 với sự tham gia của 100.000 quân từ lục quân, hải quân và không quân.

Các nhà quan sát cho rằng cuộc tập trận sắp tới được coi là phản ứng của Trung Quốc đối với tình hình căng thẳng gia tăng tại Eo biển Đài Loan

Ghẻ to chỉ doạ nạt thế thôi, dạo năm 1996 ghẻ to còn bắn pháo vào Kim Môn và Mã Tổ của ghẻ nhỏ, nhưng cũng chỉ doạ vu vơ chứ có dám vượt biển tẩn ghẻ nhỏ đâu.

Thứ năm, 22/7/2004, 06:15 GMT+7

Đài Loan tập trận quân sự

Máy bay Mirage do Pháp sản xuất cất cánh từ đường băng Jenteh, hạt Tainan, bắc Đài Loan, hôm qua.
Hôm qua, các máy bay phản lực Đài Loan có lần hạ cánh hiếm thấy xuống những đường băng. Đây là một phần trong cuộc diễn tập lớn chứng tỏ hòn đảo sẵn sàng trước cuộc tấn công từ Trung Quốc.
Về phần mình, Đài Bắc khẳng định cuộc tập trận này nằm trong đợt tập luyện quân sự hàng năm và để kiểm tra khả năng không lực sử dụng đường băng để hạ cánh khẩn cấp, hỗ trợ hậu cần trong trường hợp chiến tranh.
Trong khi đó, người phát ngôn Bộ Ngoại giao Mỹ Richard Boucher hôm qua hối thúc Trung Quốc và Đài Loan đảm bảo những cuộc tập trận mà họ tiến hành không mang tính khiêu khích và không làm gia tăng căng thẳng giữa 2 bờ eo biển. "Chúng tôi cho rằng tất cả những người tiến hành, quan sát diễn tập hay gì đi nữa phải cẩn thận không để bất kỳ sự việc nào, không để bất kỳ bước đi nào khiêu khích hoặc có thể dẫn tới căng thẳng leo thang", ông Boucher phát biểu với các phóng viên.
Tuy nhiên, người phát ngôn Bộ Ngoại giao Mỹ Boucher cho rằng những cuộc diễn tập của Đài Bắc chỉ là "chuyện bình thường".
Bắc Kinh từng tuyên bố sẽ sử dụng đường không, đường bộ và đường biển để chứng tỏ khả năng chiếm ưu thế trên không phận Đài Loan.
Nguyễn Hạnh (theo AFP)

Nguồn :
http://www.vnexpress.net/Vietnam/The-gioi/2004/07/3B9D4B7B/

Ối chời....lại chiu "Rung cây nhát khỉ" Nếu Khựa Lớn có thể thì đã cắt đầu Khựa nhỏ từ lâu gòi ....Giỏi to mồm .... Bít đâu thèng Khựa Lớn bị Mẽo cấm vận là đi đời ...

Tập trận là viêc bình thường của mỗi Quốc gia. Nhưng điều quan trọng là thời điểm tập trận. Khoảng thời gian này là thời điểm nhậy cảm để tiến hành các hoạt động quân sự có tính khiêu khích. Không chỉ Taiwan mà VN, các nước có cùng tranh chấp tại Biển Đông cũng như các đại gia khác như HK, Russia, India, Japan..

Mỹ cũng đang có một cuộc tập trận lớn có tên là "Nhịp Đập Mùa Hè 2004". các bác muốn biết tại sao thì đọc tạm cái này nhé:
http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.taiwan040706
July 6, 2004 - Operation Summer Pulse 04
Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead to an inevitable war over Taiwan? (6-July-2004)
Summary This unprecedented display of naval force by American forces near China, planned for later this month, mirrors a large display of force by China in the Strait of Taiwan. The precipitating factors include moves towards independence by Taiwan''s president, and American plans to review its "One-China" policy.
China and America are both planning major military exercises near Taiwan later in July. The two major military events are:
* China is planning military exercises in the Taiwan Strait this month, as a show of force to discourage Taiwan''s moves towards independence.
* America is planning an exceptionally large show of force in the Pacific late in July, Operation Summer Pulse 04.
This all comes on the heels of a report to Congress last month by the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission which stated that relations with China are unsatisfactory in many respects, and in particular the historical "One-China" policy, which states that Taiwan is part of China and will be reunited with China, is not working and should be reviewed.
The One China policy is a classic political compromise that''s kept the peace between China and America over Taiwan for over 50 years. After the Chinese civil war ended in 1949, with the Nationalist faction escaping to Taiwan, it''s been Chinese policy that Taiwan is still part of China, and America''s policy that Taiwan will, at a suitable future time, rejoin China as a province. (See Taiwan''s Wild Election Battle).
But the USSC report (see excerpts below) says that the entire One China policy is no longer working and has to be reviewed. The report notes that China has been isolating Taiwan internationally and marginalizing Taiwan economically, while appearing to abandon its commitment to a peaceful approach.
If you look carefully, you can almost feel the generational dynamics at work here. China and America are both entering generational crisis periods, with leaders who have no personal memories of the major world wars of the 1940s. As usual during crisis periods, brinkmanship is taking place, leading to increasing risk of conflict on both sides. China is acting too belligerently towards Taiwan; the Committee notices this, and concludes that the the solution is to act belligerently back.
What makes this so extraordinary to watch is that neither side has any choice. Neither China nor America want war with each other, but it''s as if China, Taiwan and America are puppets being controlled by some great generational puppetmaster in the sky to move, step by step, towards war.
China and its provinces <font size=-2>(Source: The Economist)</font>
China and its provinces (Source: The Economist)
Here''s why:
* Taiwan President Chen Shui-bian is a veteran of Taiwan''s 1990 Wild Lily Rebellion, a student separatist movement that began as a reaction to the 1989 Tiananmen Square crackdown in China. As the USCC report notes, Chen is moving towards Taiwan independence. Even if "nothing happens" in the military confrontation this summer, the continuing generational change led by Chen makes increasing moves to Taiwan independence inevitable.
* China''s western provinces (Tibet and Xinjiang) have their own separatist movements. So China must move against Taiwan in order to keep its western provinces in line. China has no choice.
* America''s treaty with Taiwan calls for full defense of Taiwan in case of an attack from China. America has similar treaties with Japan and South Korea, and if America failed to defend Taiwan, then its treaties with Japan and South Korea would lose all credibility. So America has no choice.
So the situation is extraordinary, and I can''t see any way that it can end in anything but war between America and China. If anyone else can, I''d willing to be educated.
------
Excerpts from the USCC report to Congress:
We have concluded that a number of the current trends in U.S.-China relations are presently moving in the wrong direction.
...
Growing Tensions Across the Strait and in Hong Kong China has not offered win-win political solutions to Taiwan and Hong Kong. China has been building missile forces and positioning its military to deter Taiwan from taking political steps Beijing considers unacceptable moves towards independence and to coerce Taiwan to end the island''s continued separate status. Further, China is using its political clout to keep Taiwan out of regional and bilateral economic arrangements and to otherwise economically marginalize the island. Taiwan President Chen Shui-bian''s recent reelection and Chen''s plan for constitutional revision have heightened China''s anxiety regarding Taiwan and heightened the near-term prospects for conflict. In Hong Kong, China''s National People''s Congress has undercut Hong Kong''s autonomy and self-governance by its recent unilateral decisions to rule out near-term direct elections for Hong Kong''s chief executive and Legislative Council. Moreover, Beijing has engaged in a systemic campaign in recent weeks to intimidate the democracy movement in Hong Kong by depicting its leaders as unpatriotic toward China, directing an unprecedented visit of eight Chinese warships to Hong Kong''s harbor, and prohibiting legislative debate on electoral matters in Hong Kong''s legislature.
China''s recent actions toward Taiwan and Hong Kong call into question its commitments to a peaceful approach toward Taiwan and to preserving Hong Kong''s autonomy and self-government. These developments merit a fresh look at U.S. policies in these areas by the Congress and executive branch. In particular, recent developments across the Strait are putting increasing stress on the United States'' one China policy, demonstrating the need for a new assessment of this policy that takes into consideration current realities.
...
Recommendation: Congress should enhance its oversight role in the implementation of the Taiwan Relations Act. Executive branch officials should be invited to consult on intentions and report on actions taken to implement the TRA through the regular committee hearing process of the Congress, thereby allowing for appropriate public debate on these important matters. In this same context, Congress and the administration should conduct a fresh assessment of the one China policy, given the changing realities in China and Taiwan. This should include a review of:
o The policy''s successes, failures, and continued viability;
o Whether changes may be needed in the way the United States government coordinates its defense assistance to Taiwan, including the need for an enhanced operating relationship between U.S. and Taiwan defense officials and the establishment of a U.S.-Taiwan hotline for dealing with crisis situations.
o How U.S. policy can better support Taiwan''s breaking out of the international economic isolation that the PRC seeks to impose on it and whether this issue should be higher on the agenda in U.S.-China relations. Economic and trade policy measures that could help ameliorate Taiwan''s marginalization in the Asian regional economy should also be reviewed. These could include enhanced U.S.-Taiwan bilateral trade arrangements that would include protections for labor rights, the environment, and other important U.S. interests.

thêm một bài nữa đây
Now Bush Saber-Rattling Is Unnerving China
By Chalmers Johnson
Mr. Johnson is the author of THE SORROWS OF EMPIRE: MILITARISM, SECRECY, AND THE END OF THE REPUBLIC and of an earlier volume, BLOWBACK: THE COSTS AND CONSEQUENCES OF AMERICAN EMPIRE, among other works.
Quietly and with minimal coverage in the U.S. press, the Navy announced that from mid-July through August it would hold exercises dubbed Operation Summer Pulse ''04 in waters off the China coast near Taiwan.
This will be the first time in U.S. naval history that seven of our twelve carrier strike groups deploy in one place at the same time. It will look like the peacetime equivalent of the Normandy landings and may well end in a disaster.
At a minimum, a single carrier strike group includes the aircraft carrier itself (usually with nine or ten squadrons and a total of about eighty-five aircraft), a guided missile cruiser, two guided missile destroyers, an attack submarine and a combination ammunition, oiler and supply ship.
Normally, the United States uses only one or at the most two carrier strike groups to show the flag in a trouble spot. In a combat situation it might deploy three or four, as it did for both wars with Iraq. Seven in one place is unheard of.
Operation Summer Pulse ''04 was almost surely dreamed up at the Pearl Harbor headquarters of the U.S. Pacific Command and its commander, Adm. Thomas B. Fargo, and endorsed by neocons in the Pentagon. It is doubtful that Congress was consulted. This only goes to show that our foreign policy is increasingly made by the Pentagon.
According to Chinese reports, Taiwanese ships will join the seven carriers being assembled in this modern rerun of 19th century gunboat diplomacy. The ostensible reason given by the Navy for this exercise is to demonstrate the ability to concentrate massive forces in an emergency, but the focus on China in a U.S. election year sounds like a last hurrah of the neocons.
Needless to say, the Chinese are not amused. They say that their naval and air forces, plus their land-based rockets, are capable of taking on one or two carrier strike groups but that combat with seven would overwhelm them. So even before a carrier reaches the Taiwan Strait, Beijing has announced it will embark on a crash project that will enable it to meet and defeat seven U.S. carrier strike groups within a decade. There''s every chance the Chinese will succeed if they are not overtaken by war first.
China is easily the fastest-growing big economy in the world, with a growth rate of 9.1 percent last year. On June 28, the BBC reported that China had passed the U.S. as the world''s biggest recipient of foreign direct investment. China attracted $53 billion worth of new factories in 2003, whereas the U.S. took in only $40 billion; India, $4 billion; and Russia, a measly $1 billion.
If left alone by U.S. militarists, China will almost surely, over time, become a democracy on the same pattern as that of South Korea and Taiwan (both of which had U.S.-sponsored military dictatorships until the late 1980s). But a strong mainland makes the anti-China lobby in the United States very nervous. It won''t give up its decades-old animosity toward Beijing and jumps at any opportunity to stir up trouble ?" "defending Taiwan" is just a convenient cover story.
These ideologues appear to be trying to precipitate a confrontation with China while they still have the chance. Today, they happen to have rabidly anti-Chinese governments in Taipei and Tokyo as allies, but these governments don''t have the popular support of their own citizens.
If American militarists are successful in sparking a war, the results are all too predictable: We will halt China''s march away from communism and militarize its leadership, bankrupt ourselves, split Japan over whether to renew aggression against China and lose the war. We also will earn the lasting enmity of the most populous nation on Earth.
This article first appeared in the Los Angeles Times and is reprinted with permission of the author.